Thelibertyman.com
11.8.24
Hello All -
This [1] is not at all consistent with the optimistic economic boom tone we saw with Hunter's Armstrong interview write-up, with the exception that the statistics [the real ones] clearly indicate a Trump landslide that the Left is worried about, epic vote tampering notwithstanding. Of course, the post election civil unrest projection has remained in force.
......"They plan to block out everything Trump tries to do to paralyze the country. There is no more America." This is evidently why all the preparations at the Capitol at the moment, and one might see it as a political operation, not a simple prophylaxis. Armstrong, nonetheless has expressed residual concern that the election outcome could be corrupted, possibly resulting in sufficient impetus to cause uprising and a secession process initiated by the Right. The same situation could be caused by the Left in a converse election outcome, in which the nation itself would become entirely dysfunctional for a time, as a prodromal revolutionary effect.
The invariant common denominator in this sociopolitical equation is the prognosis for civil and national instability due to a philosophically and spiritually divided society that has become two very different nations that are about to fission. No doubt, Russia and China are analysing this situation very carefully, along with their allies who face the common threat of a weaponised dollar. A Trump win is no guarantee of panacea, but at least represents the possibility of avoiding a global war trajectory in the short term - if he is not assassinated. not cheated against the true popular consensus, and if he is able to take assertive command. The difficult factor to quantify is the ability of the conservative bloc to throttle and arrest the Left revolutionary movement that has been taking over the Capitol under Cloward-Piven revolutionary strategies. These include the J6 false insurrection operation against the established Right to prevent Congress from considering election corruption in the seven states, and the general propaganda smear strategy of painting the Right as the source of violence and suppression that is the philosophical meme of the Left.
The consequence of major socioeconomic downturn in the U.S. would create a situation very similar to the Weimar conditions in the 1920 's, with the exception that at least two separate and violently conflicting cultural centres would be involved, both demographically and geographically bifurcating any redemption phenomenon that might parallel the rise of the NSDAP. The other factor to consider is the cyclic recession of the West, which would indicate diminution of America. Even the most optimistic scenarios indicate great difficulty in the reestablishment of socioeconomic homeostasis. An interesting alternative avenue would be the gathering of the conservative central mass of U.S. states along with the bulk of western Canada as a mechanism of continuity of the American constitutional republic, along with a north pole economic alliance with Russia to secure what has been in reality two populations that share a common enemy - the Neocon-Eurocon military industrial complex. The Armstrong codes have clearly indicated ultimate collapse of this neocon complex and its World Order Reich under the veneer of a "Schwab Doctrine" of population control and false environmentalism.
Much will depend upon "the better angels of our nature. [2]" Again, before kingdoms can change men must change, and so we also recognise that apocalypse is ultimately awakening and the commerce of "creative destruction" [3], and not necessarily global destruction.
SKO
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[1]
[2]
attrib. - A. Lincoln
[3]
see Armstrong, discussion of creative destruction, "Manipulating the World Economy."
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Note this discussion from Armstrong [1]. We already know about the armaments being rushed over there at the moment [61 billion], not to mention the NATO requisition for 100 billion to sustain war against the will of the new administration, and also how Trump's admin is already again being inundated by the neocons. Only a virtual dictatorship, with its own night of the long knives, could eradicate the fundamental problem, and then it would face the fact that essentially half this country actually supports the Left for reasons of stupidity - a situation that could only resolve in fission of the nation, or else an Orwellian suppression, which is more likely.
We have perhaps a year or two under the facade of conservative renaissance, assuming no major escalation into a major war, before a reality sets in that will require a remote homestead, or a ten million dollar reservation south of Christchurch, to outright survive what is coming, if that, in the end, is actually possible. This also lines up more or less precisely with the SOCRATES general war cycle. Whether our sentiments of reestablishment of a nation of moral, cultural and intellectual homeostasis are actually possible at this point, or else are simple last shrieks of normalcy bias, is a matter of debate. We may need to face the fact that Dorothy's house has not landed on the witch, let alone getting around to giving her a bath. We, and the president-elect, must face the fact that we no longer live in anything resembling the nation we were born into, and that the remedy is preceded by unsettling historical pretext
We also have discussions such as [2], which fall in line with concerns I wrote about in the week preceding the Russian move into Ukraine - the possibility of a Ukrainian nuclear capacity. This was followed by Zelensky announcing a desire to acquire nuclear weapons, the very day before Putin committed troops into Ukraine. Frankly, I doubt that Ukraine has the industrial capacity to do the plutonium extraction, particularly noting that it surely would have done so much earlier. There is also the fact that any use of special nuclear material, whether as a fission device or dirty bomb, by Ukraine against Russia, would almost certainly result in justification and follow-through of an immediate and precipitous Russian nuclear solution to the problem. One option is to completely destroy all Ukrainian nuclear facilities. Another, by the way, is to end the war, and replace the dusty placards at Nuremberg with the names of the neocons and Ukrainian neo-Nazis, who are hell-bent to drag us all into a third world war.
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[1]
[2]
A primary concern for some time [1], with complex ramifications, has been an escalation between election and inauguration. This could easily ignite the situation, causing an indeterminate trajectory toward nuclear use, and complications relative to turnover of power in Washington.
All has been almost suspiciously quiet so far with especially facile gestures of cooperation from the current administration - the prospect of a subtle and comprehensive geopolitical end-run cannot be ruled out, accompanied by foreign or covert domestic induction of emergency pretexts that could interfere with transfer of power. It is too soon at this moment to have Armstrong's take on the matter, but it will likely come tomorrow morning. The exact capability of the ATACMS is important, as well as other medium range missiles reported to already be on their way to Ukraine as of last week.
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[1]
https://apnews.com/article/biden-ukraine-long-range-weapons-russia-52d424158182de2044ecc8bfcf011f9c
There are considerations to suggest that current developments [1] may evolve and crescendo over half a year to a year and a half [into the range of the SOCRATES global conflict peak that has shifted up to 2026], but the underlying causes of the conflict are governed by an ideopathic irrationality that generates massive, irrevocable instability.
The precedent is Hitler's strategic catastrophe culminating in Barbarossa, and the insanity that drove it. A cyclic analysis of this specific phenomenon may be of interest over at A.E., with Barbarossa driving the effective end of the war, and the current situation in mirror image as an entry point. Analysis of the dynamics driving the Cold War may even link the two as reflected energy of the same wave - i.e. the same war, bifurcated by a countercurrent socioeconomic fractal. Less abstract is the observation that the refractory hatreds that led into WWII match the explosion of hatreds as we leave the prior socioeconomic cycle and enter WWIII. The historic precedent relative to U.S. politics, as Macgregor points out, is James Buchanan, with the distinction that the current situation involves flagrant malice and malfeasance of the outgoing administration, far beyond simple incompetence, but also leading into a huge war.
The most consistent expectation is that Russia will attempt to maintain and accelerate conventional means to utterly devastate and decapitate Ukraine on the order of several weeks. With Ukraine reduced to a field of spent refugees, the conflict will necessarily become NATO strikes into Russia and Russian strikes into NATO assets. This will quickly go nuclear, with the possible ironic exception that a single Russian nuclear strike on Kiev could deflate what is, by all reasonable analysis, a NATO bluff built upon puffing rhetoric of European and American heads of state who know essentially nothing about war, or for that matter, human suffering. Even the Pentagon stood Biden down a week ago on his attempt to authorise the missiles, citing the likely initiation of WWIII, but ......something.... bigger than a president, but much smaller than a decent man's conscience..... drove him to override their objections, abetted by a roar of flabbering European endorsements.
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[1]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2YUXj3RJST8
Evidently Russia has launched an ICBM with a conventional load [see Drudge headline]. Interesting way to dry-fire a nuclear capability. The next one could easily be a megatonne over Kiev.
It appears that the "demarcation" process I had mentioned is beginning [1]. It seems reasonable and consistent that Russia will continue for a while to avoid nuclear involvement as long as possible, using hypersonics and the aluminum bombs [see recent discussions, per Ritter [2]] as measured responses to the next round of escalation, including the Stormshadow missiles now being launched. It is possible, however, that the "while" may not be long at all if we see continued Western collateral escalation, demanding a more nonlinear strategic response. From there we do not have much between us and the countdown to launch on warning - or no warning. The other matter I mentioned is asymmetrical nuclear combat, in which occult devices could be detonated in pre-positioned ground level applications, with no detection avenues whatsoever to determine the source of the attack. Another alternative is a third party nuclear involvement similar to Clancy's theme in "Sum of All Fears," in particular, an ambiguous source that would cause devastating delays in any useful response, also a form of asymmetrical nuclear attack. A further possibility is non-nuclear coordinated sabotage [guerilla tech ops] disabling of major infrastructure, which would be a logical role of the forward spetznaz units currently in position.
The most sophisticated approach is to use the guerilla tech ops, whether with or without nuclear explosives, to take down an enemy, obviating pretext for conventional nuclear response and its entire schools of thought in the think tanks and investments in defence policy. Annie Jacobsen's scenario [3] involves a North Korean ballistic and clandestine submarine launch as a third party initiator, but resulting directly in the seventy two minute scenario. The point would be to avoid any identification of source, forcing total ambiguity in combat objective, or else the extreme alternative of total thermonuclear offensive, which is suicide.
Even Armstrong is likewise advocating that Trump take a decisively aggressive posture and active role in these matters of foreign policy, to the point of citing war crimes implications for Biden himself, as well as the entourage of Western leaders, as they are clearly in collusion of an unambiguously genocidal act of simple self preservation of power. Under present circumstances, it will be very nearly a miracle if we make it to Christmas without a nuclear detonation, or perhaps several thousand. If I were Trump, I would, if it became necessary, circumvent even the Constitution as Lincoln did, given that not simply a nation, but an entire world is now at stake. Russia needs to
know that he is in charge now, and not from the sidelines of two months of unmitigated treason.
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[1]
https://www.barrons.com/news/russia-s-updated-nuclear-red-line-adds-uncertainty-experts-348a5377
[2]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mqOQKMm6t6s
Strong wording by Armstrong [1]. Macgregor indicated on Wednesday that Russia's missile system had been put on full nuclear alert, and today Armstrong indicates that the U.S. is also on full nuclear alert. Our general defcon status is still at level three. The OSINT nuclear alert levels are level 4 for the continental U.S. and level 2 for global.
The new Oreshnik ballistic missile demonstrated in Dnipro has MIRV capability as well as precision conventional and nuclear warhead capacity. As a hypersonic loaded with lightweight low yield boosted fission devices, a relatively small number of these missiles could completely neutralise NATO in just a few minutes of flight time. The last time Russia had such an advantage was in the early eighties with the massive SS-20 mobile ballistic deployments carrying half megaton hydrogen bomb warheads, which then gave rise to the American Pershing response, and much protest in Germany, who would be vapourised if a conflict ensued. The situation now is different, as it involves active warfare too immediate for development of a strategic deterrent. Even the estimated ten or so missiles believed to already be in the Russian arsenal are enough to devastate Western assets with tactical nukes in a hypersonic format. Each day will increase that number.
In a certain way, this is a stabilising effect, as NATO must surely recognise that it is waging a direct war with Russia, and that the response will very quickly evolve into a regional tactical nuclear theatre, with strategic thermonuclear war as the only alternative to immediate negotiation of a ceasefire. The bullcrap coming out of England [2] and the White House [ibid] is frankly embarrassing, aside from terrifying. Armstrong's suggestion for arrest of Biden, Harris and Blinken is not hyperbole. The very real, feckless and incompetent flirtation with nuclear war these people have promulgated is completely invisible to an inured, beer-soaked public - until it is completely visible. We can only hope that a nuclear 911 is not carried out before January 20th.
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[1]
[2]
https://www.the-sun.com/news/12952165/putin-warns-more-hypersonic-missiles-mass-produce/